Financial Risk Management

We are starting to witness a second generation of risk management books that offer a level of sophistication and practical insights that were unavailable in books published during the mid-to-late 1990s. Among books of this second generation are my own book on value-at-risk (Holton 2003) and this outstanding text by Steven Allen.

Allen's years of experience with JPMorgan Chase shine through with this practical and insightful text. While the book has brief chapters on credit risk and operational risk, it is primarily a text on market risk management. 

Reading many earlier texts, one might surmise that market risk management is mostly about calculating value-at-risk, perhaps with a little stress-testing thrown in. Practicing risk managers know this is not the case. Tasks such as:

addressing moral hazard in the front office;

marking illiquid portfolios to market; and

preparing risk reports that reasonably capture a firm's risk exposures

consume much of a market risk manager's day. This is clearly reflected in Allen's choice of topics.

One of the opening chapters details factors that frequently keep practicing risk managers awake at night:

moral hazard;

trading schemes that mimic Ponzi schemes;

adverse selection; and

the winner's curse.

These discussions are insightful, well written and profoundly important.

There is a nice chapter detailing many of the large financial losses of recent years—Barings, Kidder-Peabody, Allied Irish, etc. In addition to the chapters on operational risk and credit risk that I have already mentioned, there is a brief chapter on value-at-risk and stress testing.

Most of the book focuses on the tactical management of market risk within financial institutions—especially derivatives dealers. This is where the book's practical flair really shines. There is much meat on these bones ... enough to command the attention of even the most experienced risk managers.

There is a detailed discussion of valuation reserves. The idea is to not arbitrarily mark-to-model an illiquid position and recognize profits based upon the dubious result. With a valuation reserve, a mark-to-model valuation may reflect a best estimate, but the reserve adds a degree of conservativeness to the result.

Allen emphasizes the need to aggregate P&Ls according to whether they arise from new or existing business. If a firm fails to do so, a faulty valuation methodology can lead the firm into a trading strategy that will appear profitable from one year to the next, but that actually resembles a Ponzi scheme.

Much of the book focuses on the disaggregation of market risk into components that can be uniformly represented in risk reports. The discussion culminates with a detailed chapter that describes how to represent exotic derivatives with equivalent positions in underliers and vanilla options. This facilitates a uniform method of treatment for most derivatives in risk reports.
 

Contents

1. Introduction
The Contents of This Book
The Use of Mathematics in This Book
Overview

2. Institutional Background
Moral Hazard—Insiders and Outsiders
Ponzi Schemes
Adverse Selection
The Winner’s Curse
Market Making versus Position Taking

3. Operational Risk
Operations Risk
Legal Risk
Reputational Risk
Accounting Risk
Funding Liquidity Risk
Enterprise Risk
The Identification of Risks
Operational Risk Capital

4. Financial Disasters
Disasters Due to Misleading Reporting
Disasters Due to Large Market Moves
Disasters Due to Conduct of Customer Business

5. Managing Market Risk
Risk Measurement
Risk Control

6. Model Risk
The Role of Models in Managing Risk
Model Control
Mark to Market vs Mark to Model

7. Managing Spot Risk

8. Managing Forward Risk
Instruments
Mathematical Models of Forward Risk
Factors Impacting Borrowing and Lending Costs
Risk Management Reporting and Limits for Forward Risk

9. Managing Vanilla Options Risk
Overview of Options Risk Management
The Path Dependency of Dynamic Hedging
A Simulation of Dynamic Hedging
Risk Reporting and Limits
Delta Hedging
Building a Volatility Surface
Summary

10. Managing Exotic Options Risk
Single-Payout Options
Time-Dependent Options
Path-Dependent Options
Correlation-Dependent Options
Correlation-Dependent Interest Rate Options

11. Value-at-Risk and Stress Testing
VaR Methodology
Stress Testing
Uses of Overall Measures of Firm Position Risk

12. Credit Risk
Short-Term Exposures to Changes in Market Prices
Long-Term Risk of Default
Lines of Credit
Counterparty Credit Risk

Taleb (1996) is cited a number of times, and that book seems to be an influence for this one. Like Taleb, Allen is intent on communicating practical knowledge to a sophisticated audience. Taleb targets traders working for derivatives dealers, but is also of interest to market risk managers. Allen targets risk managers working at derivatives dealers, but is of interest to traders. Allen is less mathematical than Taleb, but he alludes to and cites a fair amount of technical material. Allen is also more modern, discussing financial engineering results that have appeared since Taleb was published.

Who is this book for? I highly recommend it for market risk managers, especially those who work for derivatives dealers. The focus is on the capital markets, but there is much of value for practitioners working in the energy or commodity markets. The book has plenty to offer sophisticated derivatives traders and financial engineers who are interested in risk assessment.

For related books, see sections:

Risk Management - General

Risk Management - Market Risk

Other Topics - Trading

 

 

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