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1. The Basics of Credit Risk
Management
Expected Loss
Unexpected Loss
Regulatory Capital and the Basel
Initiative
2. Modeling Correlated Defaults
The Bernoulli Model
The Poisson Model
Bernoulli Versus Poisson Mixture
An Overview of Today's Industry
Models
One-Factor/Sector Models
Loss Distributions by Means of Copula
Functions
Working Example: Estimation of Asset
Correlations
3. Asset Value Models
Introduction and a Small Guide to the
Literature
A Few Words about Calls and Puts
Merton's Asset Value Model
Transforming Equity into Asset
Values: A Working Approach
4. The CreditRisk+ Model
The Modeling Framework of CreditRisk+
Construction Step 1: Independent
Obligors
Construction Step 2: Sector Model
5. Alternative Risk Measures and
Capital Allocation
Coherent Risk Measures and
Conditional Shortfall
Contributory Capital
6. Term Structure of Default
Probability
Survival Function and Hazard Rate
Risk-neutral vs. Actual Default
Probabilities
Term Structure Based on Historical
Default Information
Term Structure Based on Market
Spreads
7. Credit Derivatives
Total Return Swaps
Credit Default Products
Basket Credit Derivatives
Credit Spread Products
Credit-linked Notes
8. Collateralized Debt Obligations
Introduction to Collateralized Debt
Obligations
Different Roles of Banks in the CDO
Market
CDOs from the Modeling Point of View
Rating Agency Models: Moody's BET
Conclusion
Some Remarks on the Literature |