Energy Modelling

When it was first published, this edited collection was a god-send for financial engineers in the electricity markets. Today, the definitive text is Eydeland and Wolyniec (2003). However, this remains an excellent supplement to that book. It offers alternative perspectives and clarifies some theoretical issues of financial engineering that Eydeland and Wolyniec pass over. It also offers more extensive empirical analyses of how various diffusion processes mimic the behavior of power prices.

 

Articles are sophisticated, well written and extensively referenced. The book is divided into two sections:

Modeling Energy and Power Prices

Modeling and Market Realities

Johnson and Barz contribute an excellent article on selecting diffusion processes for modeling electricity prices. They compare the strengths and weaknesses of

Brownian motion,

Orstein-Uhlenbeck mean reversion,

geometric Brownian motion, and

geometric log mean reversion.

Each model is assessed with and without a jump process, so eight models are covered in all.

Contents

Introduction

Section 1: Modeling Energy Markets and Pricing Derivatives

1. Selecting Stochastic Processes for Modeling Electricity Prices

2. Fundamentals of Electricity Derivatives

3. Pricing, Modeling and Managing Physical Power Derivatives

4. Valuing Power and Weather Derivatives on a Mesh Using Finite Difference Methods

5. Modeling Energy Prices and Derivatives using Monte Carlo Methods

6. Fundamental Analysis of Power Price Modeling

7. Management of Transmission in the Electricity Markets

Section 2: Modeling and Market Realities

8. The Importance of Market Structure and Incentives in Determining Energy Price Risk

9. Impacts of the Weather on Energy Demand and Supplies

10. Full-Requirement Contracts

11. Heat Rate Options

12. Credit Risk Management for the Energy Industry – Some Perspectives

13. Capital Adequacy for Companies Transacting in US Electric Power Markets

14. Generator Bid Strategies in Deregulated Markets: an Empirical Approach

Hamdan's article "Option pricing in the electricity markets" clarifies, in the language of financial engineering, what it is that makes electricity derivatives unique. The discussion is practical and details implications for the pricing and hedging of power derivatives. Eydeland and Geman explain the challenges of pricing monthly, daily and hour-ahead options. There are articles on production-based and fuel-based pricing methodologies, market structure, trading strategies for plant operators—11 chapters in all.

The book is essential reading for financial engineers in the electricity markets. Not only is the content superb, but you will want to follow-up on the many references cited in the text. [Review based on the first edition.]

 

For related books, see sections:

Financial Engineering - Energy & Weather

Markets - Energy & Power

 

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