When Genius Failed The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital
Management
Bond arbitrage has been likened to picking up nickels in front of a steam
roller. Leveraged to the hilt, LTCM transformed such nickels into billions of
dollars. Eventually success caught up with them. Their capital grew to exceed
available opportunities, so they "diversified" into risk arbitrage, shorting
volatility and outright directional bets. When Asia caught the flew and Russia
defaulted on debt, markets plummeted, volatilities rose and spreads widened. The
steam roller had finally caught up with LTCM.
Roger Lowenstein has written the definitive history of the LTCM debacle. He
describes John Meriwether's early career at Solomon brothers, and how he and the
traders from Salomon's arbitrage desk formed LTCM in the early 1990's. He
details the firm's initial fund raising, banking relationships, trades and
internal politics. He describes the fund's evolution from pure bond arbitrage to
other strategies in which the partners had no real expertise. He takes us inside
Bear Stearns, Goldman Sachs, Merrill, JP Morgan, Chase, UBS and other financial
institutions and explains each one's unique relationship with LTCM. Finally,
Lowenstein describes how the fund fell ... the Fed's orchestrated bailout, how
Goldman Sachs front-ran the fund while spearheading an independent rescue
effort, and the tense negotiations that barely prevented a bankruptcy.
Contents
The Rise of Long-Term Capital
Management
1. Meriwether
2. Hedge Fund
3. On the Run
4. Dear Investors
5. Tug-of-War
6. A Nobel Prize
The Fall of Long-Term Capital
Management
7. Bank of Volatility
8. The Fall
9. The Human Factor
10. At the Fed
Epilogue
Lowenstein's research is meticulous. His writing is superb. The book reads
like an action-thriller. The lessons his story communicates are refreshingly
insightful. When Genius Failed is brilliant.