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1. Results from probability
probability spaces
Random variables
Expectation
Conditional probability
Martingales and applications
Stochastic processes
Optimal stopping
Miscellaneous applications and exercises
Further remarks and references
2. Stochastic calculus
Modeling uncertainty
Stochastic integration
Ito's lemma
Examples
Stochastic differential equations
Properties of solutions
Point equilibrium and stability
Existence of stationary distribution
Stochastic control
Bismut's approach
Jump processes
Optimal stopping and free boundary problems
Miscellaneous applications and exercises
Further remarks and references
3. Applications in economics
Neoclassic economic growth under uncertainty
Growth in an open economy under uncertainty
Growth under uncertainty: Properties of solutions
Growth under uncertainty: Stationary distribution
The stochastic Ramsey problem
Bismut on optimal growth
The rational expectations hypothesis
Investment under uncertainty
Competitive processes, transversality condition and convergence
Rational expectations equilibrium
Linear quadratic objective function
State valuation functions of exponential form
Money, prices and inflation
An N-sector discrete growth model
Competitive firm under price uncertainty
Stabilization in the presence of disturbances
Stochastic capital theory in continuous time
Miscellaneous applications and exercises
Further remarks and references
4. Applications in finance
Stochastic rate of inflation
The Black-Scholes option pricing model
Consumption and portfolio rules
Hyperbolic absolute risk aversion functions
Portfolio jump processes
The demand for index bonds
Term structure in an efficient market
Market risk adjustment in project valuation
Demand for cash balances
The price of systematic risk
An asset pricing model
Existence of an asset pricing model
Certainty equivalence formulae
A testable formula
An example
Miscellaneous applications and exercises
Further remarks and references |