During its brief
history, financial risk management has been a field dominated by quantitative
models. This may be due to the influence of bank regulators who demand that
capital charges be calculated—which is the same thing as quantifying risk. It
may also be due to disinterested senior managers who want a "silver bullet"—a
single number to summarize "risk" for them. Whatever the reason, a literature on
techniques for quantifying market, credit and operational risk has proliferated.
This book surveys some of that literature. The focus is on leading edge
techniques. Many of these have been on the leading edge for some time now
without being adopted by practitioners, so there is also an element of the
"bleeding edge" here.
Topics the authors
emphasize include generalizations of GARCH to multiple dimensions, copulas,
extreme value theory and credit derivatives pricing. They round it out with
summary chapters on value-at-risk, structural credit risk models and operational
risk modeling. They generally present the current state of the literature and
point to interesting avenues for further research.
Contents
1. Risk in perspective
2. Basic concepts in risk management
3. Multivariate models
4. Financial
time series
5. Copulas and dependence
6. Aggregate risk
7. Extreme value
theory
8. Credit risk management
9. Dynamic credit risk models
10.
Operational risk & insurance analytics
This isn't a book
for practitioners. It is written by three math professors, and the "bleeding
edge" literature they describe routinely leads to dead ends. Academics looking
for their next research project will be delighted, but risk managers scrambling
to implement risk measurement systems will be frustrated. There is little
indication of what is actually used in production models and what is merely
hypothetical. Also, concepts aren't integrated into workable models. You are
presented with lots of shiny pieces but no assembly instructions.
Academics will
find much to mull over here. Lots of mathematical models are presented along with
citations to the literature. The technical level is appropriately quite high.
Practitioners should read (my own) Holton (2003),
Bluhm et al (2002)
and Alexander (2003) for
quantitative techniques in market, credit and operational risk,
respectively. Academics should also start with those books, but then turn to
this one for new avenues to explore. [9/30/05]