A Probability Path

Many practitioners are familiar with elementary probability theory, but need to learn stochastic calculus. Between these two topics, there is a vast gulf of knowledge that needs to be filled in. The linchpin is a measure-theoretic treatment of probability theory. Many texts offer this in a manner that caters to mathematicians. I like Resnick because it is rigorous but caters primarily to non-mathematicians. The book is goal-oriented and avoids needless formality. Resnick introduces measure theory as you progress through the book, so the material is accessible to anyone who has read Apostle (1974) or a similar text in advanced calculus. However, learning may be easier if you have already read a basic measure theory book such as Bartle (1966).

Contents

1. Sets and Events

2. Probability Spaces

3. Random Variables, Elements, and Measurable Maps

4. Independence

5. Integration and Expectation

6. Convergence Concepts

7. Laws of Large Numbers and Sums of Independent Random Variables

8. Convergence in Distribution

9. Characteristic Functions and the Central Limit Theorem

10. Martingales

Building from basic principals, Resnick covers random variables, independence, expectations, convergence theorems, the law of large numbers, the central limit theorem and martingales. The book closes with a discussion of how martingales are used in finance. 

Almost twice as long as the competing Williams (1991), Resnick covers less material. I recommend Resnick because it is well written and offers practitioners the most accessible introduction to measure-theoretic probability that I am aware of. It is a rigorous but accessible route to the foundations of stochastic calculus.

For related books, see sections:

Mathematics - Measure Theory

Mathematics - Probability

Mathematics - Stochastic Calculus

Financial Engineering - Numerical Methods

Financial Engineering - Intermediate Theory

Financial Engineering - Advanced Theory

 

 

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