Advanced Financial Risk Management

Do you think you have already read everything there is out there on financial risk management? Through the 1990's, so many books were published that all explored the same recurring themes. Fortunately, that started to change in 2003. I consider the two significant books of that year to be my own (2003) book on value-at-risk and Allen's (2003) book on market risk management in trading organizations. For 2004, the bombshell is this superb text on financial risk management within commercial banks. It introduces new ways of thinking and invokes history to place familiar concepts in a new light. It is theoretically precise but eminently practical. It is informative, well written and just plain fun to read. There is so much material in this book, that I will only touch on a couple highlights below.

 

Practicing risk managers know of the profound importance of transfer pricing as a risk management tool. You wouldn't realize this reading other books, but authors van Deventer, Imai and Mesler place this material front and center. What is more, they take us back to the 1970's with an historical account of how Bank of America was the first financial institution to implement a "matched maturity" transfer pricing system. This allowed asset-liability mismatches to be identified and "rolled up" for centralized management. Interestingly, Bank of America incurred a significant loss around 1980 due to a mismatch. The new system made it clear that management was to blame. The system had identified the mismatch, but they had consciously decided to not hedge it.

Within commercial banks, there is a natural tension between book value and market value accounting. Commercial banks are one of the few types of institutions where asset-liability management and market risk management techniques are employed side-by-side. The authors point out how it is this natural tension that makes risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC) calculations such a natural tool for commercial banks—and such an unnatural tool for so many other institutions! It is a wonderful perspective.

The book has 44 chapters divided into five sections:

Risk Management: Definitions and Objectives

Interest Rate Analytics

Credit Risk Models

Interest Rate and Credit Model Testing

Risk Management Applications, Instrument by Instrument

Chapters of the first section are some of the most interesting. There is plenty of strategy, practical insights and history here. The chapter on yield curve smoothing is excellent.

Chapters of the second section open with a sophisticated discussion of duration and convexity. They discuss duration's assumption of parallel shifts in the term structure and demonstrate how models based on this assumption allow arbitrage opportunities. This leads to a discussion of more sophisticated term structure models, starting with the Vasicek model.

The third section covers credit risk modeling, including structural and reduced form models. An excellent chapter explores credit spread modeling.

The book then turns to techniques for validating credit and interest rate models. This is an emerging field, but there is plenty of material here.

The last section contains 22 chapters. Most explore valuation issues for specific assets or liabilities: corporate bonds, non-maturing deposits, revolving credit facilities. Others explore specific topics, such as the impact of collateral on valuation, or liquidity issues.

The book is not overly technical. For the most part, familiarity with calculus and elementary probability is all you need. A stochastic differential equation shows up here and there, but they are very basic. There are extensive references to relevant literature. End of chapter questions afford plenty of opportunities to practice with concepts.

Contents

Risk Management: Definitions and Objectives

1. A risk management synthesis: Market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk and asset and liability management

2. Risk, return and performance

3. Capital regulation, risk management and performance

4. Interest rate risk introduction and overview

5. Interest rate risk mismatching and hedging

6. Traditional interest rate risk analysis: Gap analysis and simulation models

7. Fixed income mathematics: the basic tools

8. Yield curve smoothing

Interest Rate Analytics

9. Duration and convexity

10. Duration as a term structure model

11. Vasicek and extended Vasicek models

12. Alternative Term Structure models

13. Estimating the parameters of term structure models

Credit Risk Models

14. An introduction to credit risk: Using market signals in loan pricing and performance measurement

15. Traditional approaches to credit risk: ratings and transition matrices

16. Structural credit models: An introduction to the Merton approach

17. Reduced form credit models

18. Credit spread fitting and modeling

Interest Rate and Credit Model Testing

19. Tests of credit models using historical data

20. Tests of credit models using market data

21. Tests of interest rate models using a credit risk approach

Risk Management Applications, Instrument by Instrument

22. Valuing credit risky bonds

23. Credit derivatives and collateralized debt obligations

24. Risk-neutral interest rates and European options on bonds

25. Forward and futures contracts

26. European options on forward and futures contracts

27. Caps and floors

28. Interest rate swaps and swaptions

29. Exotic swap and option structures

30. American fixed-income options

31. Irrational exercise of fixed income options

32. Mortgage-backed securities

33. Non-maturity deposits

34. Foreign exchange markets: a term structure model approach

35. Impact of Collateral on valuation models

36. Pricing and valuing revolving credit and other facilities

37. Modeling common stock and convertible bonds on a default-adjusted basis

38. Valuing insurance policies and pension obligations

39. Risk management objectives revisited at the portfolio and company level

40. Liquidity analysis and management

41. Performance measurement: Plus alpha vs. transfer pricing

42. Managing institutional default risk and “safety and soundness

43. Information technology considerations

44. Shareholder value creation and destruction

The only flaw I see in the book is a thoroughly inadequate index. At just a page and a half, it is all but useless.

This is the best risk management title published in 2004. It is essential reading for risk managers at commercial banks. I highly recommend it to anyone who works in financial risk management. The book is outstanding.

 

 

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